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How ANYONE can become financially independent and retire early - with Barney Whiter of The Escape Artist

Change Work Life

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Is the Back Testing of the 4% a Good Idea?

A million pound pot, he's using a 4% withdrawal rate. He will be able to withdraw an inflation adjusted 40,000 amounts each year or might there be years where he kind of looks at the investment performance and think, I'm not sure whether I should take out the full amount this year. A lot of back testing has been done to get to that kind of, that what looks like a very crude sort of rule of thumb number. But to your point, would it feel very comfortable if history does not determine the future, right? So the past may not give 100% guarantee to the future,. What doesn't give 100% Guarantee to the future is sequence of returns risk

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