The Future of Artificial Intelligence

I'm genuinely unsure what kind of capability you would get out of a well-trained transformer that big. But I would not be surprised if it were superhuman at a wide range of tasks. Is that enough to start deeply modelling internal agents and other phenomena concerning for safety? Maybe? Probably? It's not a bet I would want to wage a humanity's survival on. A special kind of consciousness is required for true AI, and penrose was right. We immediately hit a wall and all progress stops without nuclear war or equivalent somehow. Up until up's dead anyway.