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A Failure, but Not of Prediction

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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The Ebola Pandemic, Lincoln Post, and Kelsey Piper

Zane M. was the first mainstream media figure to spread the word that face masks were probably helpful. She quoted a CDC prediction that there could be a million cases by the end of 2014. In fact, this didn't happen. The virus never really made it out of Liberia, Sierra Leone, and Guinea. Kelsey Piper's superpower is her ability to treat something as important even before she has incontrovertible evidence that it has to be.

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