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The ECB Hikes As The Fed Pauses - Is This 2008 Again?

The Macro Trading Floor

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The Prerequisite for a Recession

Elphinstone: For a recession to happen, you basically need some sort of external trick or a shock. Now that we've had at least a couple of quarters of very conservative risk taking, it's just tricky to surprise people on the downside,. Spurring risk-averse decision-making among managers, et cetera. So maybe this is what we need to get that recession that everybody has been waiting for.

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