
ON THE EDGE (Part 1): Nate Silver on Politics, Poker, and Risk-Taking
The Next Big Idea
00:00
From Poker to Politics: A Journey in Forecasting
This chapter explores the speaker's unique transition from poker and baseball forecasting to becoming an election forecaster, spurred by a shift in online poker laws. It delves into the concepts of luck, opportunity, and the relevance of expected value in decision-making, highlighting parallels between sports randomness and political unpredictability. The conversation also covers the evolution of election modeling, the intricacies of political forecasting, and the challenges of engaging a niche audience through subscription-based reporting.
Transcript
Play full episode