14min chapter

The Next Big Idea cover image

ON THE EDGE (Part 1): Nate Silver on Politics, Poker, and Risk-Taking

The Next Big Idea

CHAPTER

From Poker to Politics: A Journey in Forecasting

This chapter explores the speaker's unique transition from poker and baseball forecasting to becoming an election forecaster, spurred by a shift in online poker laws. It delves into the concepts of luck, opportunity, and the relevance of expected value in decision-making, highlighting parallels between sports randomness and political unpredictability. The conversation also covers the evolution of election modeling, the intricacies of political forecasting, and the challenges of engaging a niche audience through subscription-based reporting.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode