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P-hacking, Reproducibility & the Nobel Prize: Guido Imbens (#269)

Into the Impossible With Brian Keating

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Is It Better to Take a Lump Sum and Avoid Inflationary Concerns?

In a purely efficient market, wouldn't there be some influence on the expected future value of money in a low interest rate environment? It might be perceived by obviously a knowledgeable person that it's better to take a lump sum and avoid inflationary concerns or is anything in macroeconomically. In practice, and that sort of behavioral economics, saying what people get initially, they sort of tend to stick with that rather than go through the trouble and changing that.

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