15min chapter

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Paul Christiano - Preventing an AI Takeover

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

The Uncertain Future of AI Scaling

This chapter explores the challenges and uncertainties of scaling AI technologies, focusing on the relationship between parameters, data, and computing power essential for advancements in performance. The discussion highlights the skepticism around extrapolating AI intelligence improvements while examining the complexities of measuring economic value against cognitive capabilities. Ultimately, it delves into the unpredictable nature of AI's evolution, addressing the significant hurdles in projecting future developments and timelines.

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