Bonus: Preventing an AI-Related Catastrophe
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AI-Caused Existential Catastrophe
Even if we find a way to avoid power-seeking, there are still risks. Advances in AI which could be directly applied to nuclear forces could create asymmetries in the capabilities of nuclear armed nations. While AI could potentially also have stabilizing effects, for example by making everyone feel more vulnerable, decreasing the chances of escalation,. We could see destabilizing effects even before advances in AI are actually deployed. This is because one state's belief that their opponents have new nuclear capabilities can be enough to disrupt the delicate balance of deterrence. So overall, we're uncertain about whether AI will substantially increase the risk of nuclear conflict in the short term.
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