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Is There a Time Horizon to Intelligent Machines?
There are really two assumptions one needs to make. One assumption is we will continue to make progress in building intelligent machines at whatever rate, unless something terrible happens. The only other assumption you need is that intelligence is sub straight independent and doesn't require the wet wear of a biological brain. Given these two measly assumptions, again, any progress for intelligence, we have to acknowledge that we stand a very good chance of finding ourselves in relationship to intelligences more powerful than our own.