The Gambler's Fallacy in Baseball Umpires

Toby Mosquitz: Umpires are susceptible to the Gambler's fallacy, but they're also just not that good. He says a judge who had granted asylum to two asylum seekers in a row would be more likely to reject the next one. And he says on pitches that are just outside the strike zone, umpires only get those right about what percent?Mosquitz: I'm going to give them like 90 to 95% because they're experts. But you don't even need an umpire hardly.