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SI222: Trend Following vs Tail Hedging to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Rob Carver

Top Traders Unplugged

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How to Estimate Carrie Forecasts for Seasonal Instruments

Carrie is one of these things where in some cases it's quite hard to estimate what it should be so obviously this seasonality there's also weird things going on. In Europe most companies pay semi-annual dividends and one dividend is much bigger than the other so you tend to see spikes in dividends which affects Carrie as well. Do everything the same for every instrument unless there's very strong compelling evidence both statistically and also a good reason why should do anything different.

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