The Complexities of Election Forecasting

Kamala Harris holds a national lead of three percentage points over Donald Trump. And as the polls following her recent debate performance continue to trickle in, that number is expected to grow. But can we trust the latest polls?

This week, in our latest special election series, we talk with an undecided voter who doesn’t trust what polls are saying. Then, a pair of political scientists break down how we can make polling better.

We’ll hear from Samaya Garza, J.D. Candidate at University of Detroit Mercy School of Law, Dr. Peter Francia, professor and director of the ECU Center for Survey Research, Justin Grimmer, political science professor and senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution, and Dr. Natalie Jackson, vice president at GQR.

Guests:

Samaya Garza, J.D. Candidate at University of Detroit Mercy School of Law

Dr. Peter Francia, professor and director of the ECU Center for Survey Research

Justin Grimmer, political science professor and senior fellow at Stanford's Hoover Institution

Dr. Natalie Jackson, vice president at GQR

Host:

Ray Suarez

Mateo Schimpf, senior producer

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