AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
4min chapter
Methinks it is a weasel
Think with Pinker
The Gambler's Fallacy
The gambler's fallacy is the belief that after a run of reds in roulette, the ball is bound to land on black. It works by deluding a temporary balance, not by compensating for it. Not everything in life is a roulette wheel - we don't know if lebron james has the hot hand because he seems to be in a run of form or just discerning patterns in randomness. And so we need to be careful just porting over fallacies from a situation that we understand very well and assuming they will always work in the real world.
00:00
Transcript
Episode notes
Get the Snipd
podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any
moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share
& Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode