Ross Douthat on the Trouble with Experts
The Good Fight
00:00
The Boris Johnson Phenomenon
You can worse course of action that you know has a much higher risk of going wrong, but you get very lucky, and it turns out that it's ok. We call this the boris johnson phenomena. I sometimes think about whether there's many historical junctures where political leaders are retrospectively judged by the success or failure or their course of action. It may be that they took an unjustifiable risk which just happened to turn out fine. There's no sort of harry seldon psycho historical analysis that can actually tell you what the statistical dangers of donald trap wore.
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