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The Best Investment Writing Volume 5: Selected Writing from Prominent Investors and Authors

The Meb Faber Show - Better Investing

CHAPTER

The Negative Relationship Between Turning Points and Trend Following Performance

The number of turning points par ase per year is approximately uncorrelated with return volatility only zero point, zero two correlation. High or low volatility can appear during periods of sustained uptreined or down trein as well as at and after turning points. The negative relationship betwen turning points frequency and train following performance across the distribution of individual assets carries over to multi asset trend following portfolios. A one de deviation increase in the witted average number of asets turning points translated to approximately nine point two per centage points lower annual returns.

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