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Holden Karnofsky - Transformative AI & Most Important Century
Dwarkesh Podcast
Is There Really Any History of AI?
Eliezer Eliezer asked on Twitter, has there literally ever indeed entire history of AI been any case of anybody successfully calling the development timing of literally any novel AI capability? John Defterios: I mostly just want to say like there haven't been a lot of cases of people predicting AI milestones with great precision. And that's also not what I'm trying to do. This century, it looks like more likely than not that we'll get something hugely transformative," he says.
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