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Surveillance: US Payrolls Crush Estimates

Bloomberg Surveillance

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How Hard Is It to Get to Recession With a Labor Market Report Like What We Just Got?

Average hourly earnings is a hard one to anchor on because it's so subjective. Part of what you saw in the internals of today's labor report is a little bit less boost from leisure and hospitality, a little bit more spread. No one doubts that peak inflation has occurred. Inflation is declining. The shelter piece is going to decline and help push everything down.

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