3min chapter

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Episode 274: The Pitfalls of Retirement Calculators and Being Unrealistically Conservative, AI Musings And Portfolio Reviews As Of July 7. 2023

Risk Parity Radio

CHAPTER

How to Use a Crystal Ball to Predict Future Returns

The crystal ball has been used since ancient times. It's used for scrying, healing and meditation. You can actually feel the energy from your ball by just putting your hands in and out. The other thing is it matches up performance to economic environments. But if you use historical data in particular the real returns which already subtract off the inflation for that period then you are going to have much more realistic estimates to use.

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