23min chapter

Many Happy Returns cover image

Chance, Risk, and the Art of Uncertainty, with Sir David Spiegelhalter

Many Happy Returns

CHAPTER

Navigating Risks Through Language and Decision-Making

This chapter delves into the crucial role of precise language in communicating probabilities, particularly highlighted by the Bay of Pigs incident. It explores the psychological factors influencing investment behavior, contrasting emotional reasoning with analytical decision-making amidst uncertainty. Additionally, the chapter emphasizes the need for adaptable forecasting mindsets, highlighting the importance of clear communication and robust risk assessment in both personal and financial contexts.

00:00

Get the Snipd
podcast app

Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
App store bannerPlay store banner

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode

Save any
moment

Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways

Share
& Export

Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more

AI-powered
podcast player

Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features

Discover
highlights

Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode