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111 – Rational Practices in Everyday Living

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Importance of Predicting for Tomorrow, Not Yesterday

It's not enough to check how well your theory predicts facts you already know you have to predict for tomorrow, not yesterday. Some of these are good bumper stickers. The real question is, can you tell me what's going to happen tomorrow? Cool. So those were our two posts for today and boy, did we get off on attention? But hey, it was fun. That's why we're here. If this wasn't fun, we wouldn't be doing it.

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