How Much Should We Update Our View on a Complex Argument?

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Let's say you had a similar argument, but the conclusion wasn't so obviously false. Would you be persuaded by it? Well, I guess what I mean is like, how much should we update by let's say there's a complicated argument that sounds totally correct. But the conclusion is really surprising, right? So how much would you update your view on that, right?

What is 80,000 Hours? What sorts of people should become entrepreneurs? How can you run cheap experiments on yourself? What are some beneficial modes of philosophical thinking?

Arden Koehler is a researcher and writer at 80,000 Hours, a nonprofit whose mission is to help people use their careers to help solve the world's most pressing problems, and an active member of the effective altruism community. Arden has a PhD in philosophy from New York University, with a specialisation in ethics and attitudes toward time, and a B.A. in philosophy from University of California, Berkeley. You can check out her work at 80,000 Hours, and you can email her at arden@80000hours.org.

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