Is Recession on the Horizon?
On Investing
Navigating Economic Uncertainty
This chapter examines the current economic landscape with a focus on the rising chances of a recession. It discusses key data points such as GDP figures, job cuts, and fluctuating tariff policies, as well as their implications on different sectors. The conversation highlights the cautious sentiment among businesses and the impact of uncertainty on corporate earnings and stock prices.
In this episode, Liz Ann Sonders and Kathy Jones discuss the current sentiment in the market, contrasting consumer sentiment with investor sentiment amid economic uncertainty. They explore the implications of bearish investor attitudes and the potential for a recession and reflect on the anniversary of the COVID-19 pandemic's impact on the economy. The conversation also highlights key economic indicators to watch in the coming week, including retail sales and Fed decisions.
Then, Liz Ann speaks with Kevin Gordon about the overall economic landscape, focusing on recession indicators, labor market dynamics, and the recent earnings season. They explore the implications of tariff policies on business confidence and the challenges companies face in providing guidance, given the uncertainty.
Kathy and Liz Ann also discuss the data and economic indicators they will be watching in the coming week, including the upcoming FOMC meeting.
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The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index measures newspaper coverage of policy-related economic uncertainty, the number of federal tax code provisions set to expire, and disagreement among economic forecasters. https://www.policyuncertainty.com/index.html
ISM is the Institute for Supply Management.
PMI is the Purchasing Managers Index.
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