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108 – Rudi Hoffman on How to Beat Death and Taxes

The Bayesian Conspiracy

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The Importance of Transparency

Two days before Germany attacked Poland kicking off World War II, Chamberlain sent a letter that was intended to make it clear Britain would fight any invasion. The letter was phrased politely and diplomatic speak and Hitler thought it was conciliatory. So the tanks rolled right in. When you have something in your head, you may think things are very obvious but they are not necessarily in any way obvious.

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