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278. “Big Historian” David Christian on Time, the Near and Far Future, Transhumanism, Interstellar Migrations, the Fate of Our Species, and the End of Time

The Michael Shermer Show

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Predicting Political, Economic, Social Futures Better Than Probability

No one can predict political, economic, social futures better than chance. You'd have to be more you'd you'd have to discriminate carefully. Different types of tracks er allow different degrees of confidence in the odds for different horses. So discriminating how much, what sort of predictions are plausible in this context is important.

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