Wicked Flies Back to Omaha

There's a huge amount of inability to evaluate who is an expert. It comes from us wanting certainty in situations where certainty just doesn't exist. If the weather man says, i's an 80 % chance of rain and it doesn't rain, people on the receiving end of the forecast don't say, oh, that was one of the 20% when it wasn't ging rate. These new experts are clearly better than the experts they replaced. And yet people treat them as if they were worse and neglect their advice,. even when their lives depend on it.