Are we witnessing China take the lead in the AI race? In this episode, Sam Korus and Nicholas Grous are joined by ARK’s Chief Futurist, Brett Winton, to discuss the implications of the emergence of open-source AI models, particularly focusing on the DeepSeek R1 model from China. They explore the efficiency of AI training, the competitive dynamics in the AI landscape, and the impact of inference on hardware demand. The conversation also touches on the role of China in the AI sector and the future of AI model providers in a rapidly evolving market.

If you know ARK, then you probably know about our long-term research projections, like estimating where we will be 5-10 years from now! But just because we are long-term investors, doesn’t mean we don’t have strong views and opinions on breaking news. In fact, we discuss and debate this every day. So now we’re sharing some of these internal discussions with you in our new video series, “The Brainstorm”, a co-production from ARK and Public.com. Tune in every week as we react to the latest in innovation. Here and there we’ll be joined by special guests, but ultimately this is our chance to join the conversation and share ARK’s quick takes on what’s going on in tech today.

Key Points From This Episode:

• Open-source AI models are changing the competitive landscape.
• Efficiency in AI training does not equate to reduced demand for hardware.
• The emergence of new models can scramble existing competitive dynamics.
• The cost of machine intelligence is declining, leading to increased application development.
• Meta has significant potential for growth due to its vast user base.
• Apple's current strategy may not be enough to maintain its market position.
• The rapid advancement of AI technology is akin to compounding interest, leading to exponential growth.

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