Assessing Top Global Security Threats with Expert Frederick Kagan
Intelligence Matters
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The Surge Strategy in Iraq and Afghanistan Was Not Successful
In both cases, the US and its allies were facing an insurgency. We hadn't adopted a counterinsurgency strategy and then we hadn't resourced it. I think that if President Biden had not ordered the hasty withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan, Taliban would not now be in power there. So I don't think that clearly the surge in Afghanistan did not succeed as well as the surge in Iraq for various reasons but I also think that there was nothing inevitable above the outcome that we've had.
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