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Tobias Carlisle - Thinking Like an Acquirer (S1E2)

Flirting with Models

CHAPTER

What Was the Next Step in Your Investing Journey?

The idea is that simple statistical models, simple algorithms outperform the intuition of the best experts. It's not just in investing, it's selecting wine, vintages, determining which criminals are going to be recidivist and college admissions. The reason why this happens is this idea, the broken leg theory. Every single one of these stocks has a broken leg. We exercise our discretion far too frequently.

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