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Following The "Fed Breadcrumbs" | Nick Timiraos on “Not Hot At All” Labor Market, Interest Rate Cuts, and Fed’s Collision Course With 2024 Election

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Fed's Interest Rate Dilemma

This chapter explores the political ramifications of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts as elections approach, arguing that economic factors, rather than political motives, primarily drive these decisions. It reviews historical instances where Fed actions intersected with elections and highlights the pressures different administrations may place on the Fed. The discussion extends to potential implications of a Trump reelection on Fed leadership and policy, emphasizing the complex dynamics between monetary policy and presidential authority.

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