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106 - David Albert & Sean Carroll: Quantum Theory, Boltzmann Brains, & The Fine-Tuned Universe

Robinson's Podcast

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The Relationship Between Probabilities and Frequency

I've been confused forever about what talk about self locating probability is about and how it could be explanatory of certain aspects of our experience. So I would just say that you have to give up on the idea that probabilities are about frequencies at all. It is in the nature of subjective things that they are subjective. There is not an experiment that is going to tell you what is the correct subjective set of beliefs to have. If someone really thinks I'm 90% going to be green, 10% will be blue, you can win a lot of money off that person by betting two to one against them being green with both of their future selves. In this actual Kirk case, yes. They're

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