The Importance of Being Accurate in Modeling

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"I think we should take it much more seriously than we do right now in the US," he says. "Even if I only thought there was a 20% chance of this being real issue, I think we should do ... It's really more than 20%. So I'm totally sold that this is something we should be taking really seriously." 'It taps into lots of human cognitive biases towards inaction,' writes John Defterios.

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What are "shed" and "cake" projects? And how can you avoid "shed" projects? What is the "jobs to be done" framework? What is the "theory of change" framework? How can people use statistics (or statistical intuition) in everyday life? How accurate are climate change models? How much certainty do scientists have about climate change outcomes? What are some promising strategies for mitigating and reversing climate change?

Cassandra Xia (@CassandraXia) is the creator of Adventures in Cognitive Biases and co-founder of the non-profit Work on Climate. She is fascinated by how human biases affect the actions we take as a society and how to hack human psychology to get the change that we want. She is previously affiliated with the MIT Media Lab, MIT CS department, and Google AI. More of Cassandra's work can be found at cassandraxia.com and workonclimate.org.

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