This chapter delves into the intriguing world of political betting markets and their predictive power compared to traditional reporting. The discussion highlights specific wagers and odds, emphasizing the competitive dynamics of betting on election outcomes and its implications for electoral forecasting.
What can we learn from the people who put everything on the line? Nate Silver talked to just about every type of gambler – poker players, venture capitalists, crypto traders – to find out.
Silver joins Ricky Mulvey for a conversation about expected value, Presidential polling, and risk. They also discuss:
- Why Adam Neumann keeps getting money.
- DraftKings’s surcharge for winning bets.
- Why bubbles are bigger in meme-ified worlds.
Companies mentioned: DKNG, MSFT
Host: Ricky Mulvey
Guest: Nate Silver
Producer: Mary Long
Engineer: Dez Jones, Chace Pryzlepa
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