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The curse of the midterms

Explain It to Me

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The Economy Affects House Election Results

Political scientist seth masket has a metric that i like because it sort of splits the difference between those. It's not just about voters perceptions, but it also gets pretty close to how voters experience the actual economy. The standard is for real disposable income growth to be increasing by a couple percentage pointstha what most presidents have been and even if it has been increasing one to two %, that has often been matched by big mid term defeats.

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