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Eric Basmajian: Cyclical Drivers and Trends of the US Economy

Resolve Riffs Investment Podcast

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The Cyclical Economy and the Manufacturing Sector in a Recession

The manufacturing sector as a percentage of the economy has been dwindling over the past several years maybe a few decades. The cyclical economy is only about 12 or 13 percent of total jobs so job losses that will come in the coming recession will still be dominated by the cyclical economy. What's going on there with the benefit of being able to look at the cycle and hindsight what happened was the monetary stimulus that occurred during covid caused such a radical increase in the consumption of durable goods which have to all be manufactured we accumulated these huge backlogs of orders that needed to be produced but many companies haven't received a new order all year.

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