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Polls, Perceptions, and Political Discourse
This chapter navigates the complexities of the political landscape, focusing on polling data and public perceptions of candidates like Joe Biden and Donald Trump. It addresses the challenges faced by political analysts in maintaining honesty about candidate weaknesses while anticipating backlash, and reflects on the emotional weight of forecasting amidst chaotic election years. Additionally, it explores the evolution of polling methodologies and the importance of clear communication in interpreting data and probabilities.