In the latest episode of Facts vs. Feelings, Ryan Detrick, Chief Market Strategist, and Sonu Varghese, VP, Global Macro Strategist, break down the recent market correction, what history tells us about recoveries, and whether investors should be concerned. Plus, they discuss sentiment shifts, the strength of international markets, and what they see next for stocks.
Key Takeaways:
- Understanding Market Corrections: The S&P 500 fell 10% in just 16 trading days — historically, corrections like this happen about once a year.
- What Happens Next? History suggests strong rebounds after quick corrections, with the S&P 500 gaining an average of 7.5% in three months and 15% in six months following similar drops.
- It’s Not All Bad: While the S&P 500 dipped, international markets like Germany, Japan, and Europe have remained resilient, showing the importance of diversification.
- Investor Sentiment is Shifting: Bearish sentiment is at its highest level since March 2009, often a contrarian buy signal.
- The Fed and Inflation Concerns: Inflation expectations have risen, but real inflation remains under control. The Fed’s next moves will be crucial.
- Diversification Wins: Bonds, gold, and low-volatility stocks have held up well, reinforcing the need for a balanced portfolio.
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Questions about the show? We’d love to hear from you! factsvsfeelings@carsongroup.com
