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SI222: Trend Following vs Tail Hedging to Protect Your Portfolio ft. Rob Carver

Top Traders Unplugged

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Investing in ETFs

Nils: We do better when there is a kind of a slower sell off I mean clearly if something changes from a peak in equities for example where like in February of 2018 yeah trend follows will have a problem. In Covid with during Covid I think we did quite well and had the crisis continued we would have been absolutely correctly positioned for that crisis it just didn't materialize. Rob has two questions about Carrie question one in the original Carrie paper the authors described how the Carrie strategy works in all asset classes but that the mechanics is varied in equities global bonds and credit Carrie predicts future price appreciation in currencies future prices are independent of Carrie in commodities and options the market takes back part

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