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Bill Bernstein: Revisiting The Four Pillars of Investing

The Long View

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How to Avoid a Catastrophe With Short Bonds

If bonds are moving in closer lockstep with stocks, do you think the answer is to chuck them in favor of less correlated assets or is it to shorten up your durations quite a bit favoring things like cash? How should one respond to that scenario? Yeah, I would go with your last strategy, which is to chuck duration. I've always been a fan of short bonds that hasn't been a winning strategy until about 2022. But I would rather forego the opportunity of benefiting from the flight to safety that you see with long bonds, particularly benefit from that.

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