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384 | Peter Turchin: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path to Political Disintegration

The Realignment

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The Future of Political Instability

The road to crisis is fairly generalized. It's like a valley with steep walls and the walls, the wall has only one way a place to roll. Then you get to the cusp of the crisis and a whole bunch of roads opens up in front of you. This is where it takes collective action and we are now in situations where pro-social individuals and elites can actually affect the trajectory. That's what our science basically tells us. But I don't see yet that our political elites understand the nature of the problem.

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