
10. Peter Wildeford on Forecasting
The Inside View
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Youere Kind of Helping With Atomic Risk Forcasting Tournaments
The charity you're running a vrething party to doing is helping with, yes, creating tournaments for assessing nuclear risk. Stronger norms and m, then the an of the base rate when youere in te 19 eighties is maybe forty years, and and, and now we have like em 80 years. Ye. Certainly observing forty additional years of no nuclear destruction should add a lot more data to any model that would make you feel more confident in avoiding, avoiding disaster.
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