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244 | Katie Elliott on Metaphysics, Chance, and Explanation
Sean Carroll's Mindscape: Science, Society, Philosophy, Culture, Arts, and Ideas
The Switch From Deterministic Pictures to Indeterministic Pictures
There used to be a strong methodological principle guiding scientific inquiry across many different instances of scientific inquiry. To the extent that your theory has some probabilities in it, that's a marker of your ignorance and you're still trying to make pretty accurate predictions using your probabilistic model. So now our predictive enterprises aren't to get what happens right, it's to match our credences to the chances or match our credence to the probabilities given by the theory. We want to make predictions at the rate at which we're doing something differently now. And as we were talking about at the reason, we need to rethink our explanatory project because we're arguably not trying to find sufficient reasons for things to happen
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