Episode 4: Respect the Polygon
Against the Rules with Michael Lewis
00:00
The Shift from Certainty to Probability
This chapter examines the struggles individuals face with understanding mathematics and probabilistic thinking, particularly in the context of political forecasting. It discusses the evolution of data-driven analysis in elections, highlighting the difference between anecdotal evidence and polling data, with a focus on pivotal moments from the 2008 and 2016 presidential elections.
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