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Building the Habit of Estimating Probabilities
Just building the habit of trying to estimate likelihoods around things we never normally would so literally, just trying to put a number like, what is the probability this person is bluffing right now? Or the probability at this agent who says that they can't do this for me actually can't do it for me. And you can ike, oiterate until you sort of converge on what feels like a reasonable percentage. Just like building, like build the habit of making like, three formal predictions about things per day. Iu kno, by a formal prediction, i mean like, this will happen by this time with this frea,. You know, this frequency, this percentage this