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Efficient or Inefficient?
Interest rates never forecast inflation. Interust rates are kind of ran to walke just like exchange rates. Acid prices don't seem to move on information about fundamentals. If you wanht to call on that, like about cash fllows, they move on discount ratine another way of saying there's money to be made buying what prices are low and selling when prices are high if you can wait a long time. We're sitting on a powder keg. And we're sitting on the possibility of a run a crisis, which would be a sharp unforecast inflation, which the fed can't do. So, yes, it's about risk its. It's not about forecast