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#50 Ta(l)king Risks & Embracing Uncertainty, with David Spiegelhalter

Learning Bayesian Statistics

CHAPTER

Is It True That You Should Acknowledge Uncertainty?

When we say that you should admit the uncertainties and both, but within model uncertainties and in uncertainty about the whole modelling process, people say, oh, my goodness. Well, if we do that, no one will trust us. But is it actually true? All our research shows that if you acknowledge uncertainty, and you're actually so confident about your lack of confidence, up fron as they look, it's impossible to know everything about thiswe this is what we know, but this is also what we don't know. Thereis, we see no reduction in the trust in the source of he inform from that. And that's from lay people, not necessarily just technical people who might

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