5min chapter

Library of Mistakes cover image

Ep 14: Geopolitical Alpha (with Marko Papic)

Library of Mistakes

CHAPTER

The Constraint Is Framework: American Miscalculation of Chinese Intentions

The greatest risk global order and peace is American miscalculation of Chinese intentions, not actual Chinese aggression. If the US pushes Beijing to hard on trade and the economy, it will threaten the primary directive for China escaping the middle income trap. No amount of Jake Sullivan's soliloquies is going to convince me that the White House strategists have any idea what they want from China. Donald Trump came to China with a list of demands. Now we can disagree.

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