When Does a Presidency Become Lame Duck?

On this episode of the Chuck ToddCast, Chuck unpacks a tumultuous week for Donald Trump as newly released Epstein emails reignite old scandals — and this time, they may stick. With Speaker Mike Johnson appearing to serve Trump’s interests over his own members, and a worsening economy eroding public patience, Chuck explores whether we’re witnessing the beginning of Trump’s “lame duck” moment. He draws parallels between Trump’s endless stream of controversies, his history of corrupt pardons, and how even “teflon” presidents eventually turn “velcro” when conditions shift.

As the cost of living rises and swing voters tune out partisan noise, scandals like Epstein’s are cutting through both sides’ information bubbles — forcing Republicans to reckon with Trump’s baggage. Chuck argues that if Democrats manage a midterm sweep, historians might look back on this very week as the turning point when Trump’s political luck finally began to run out.

Finally, he answers listeners’ questions in the “Ask Chuck” segment and breaks down the latest in college football.

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Timeline:

(Timestamps may vary based on advertisements)

00:00 Chuck Todd’s introduction

00:30 New Epstein emails released referencing Trump

01:30 Mike Johnson’s actions are in service to WH, not his members

03:15 Trump has a laundry list of scandals & corrupt pardons, none stuck

05:30 Presidents can go from teflon to velcro

07:00 The bad economy could make Trump less resilient to scandals

08:30 JD Vance tweet demanding Epstein transparency has aged horribly

09:15 Trump’s involvement with Epstein has been baked into public opinion

10:30 High prices and bad economy mean less public patience for Trump

11:15 Every presidency hits their lame duck point, this could be the start

12:30 Winning the midterms for the Democrats means winning the senate

13:45 Trump has treated the party like his casinos, leveraged for his benefit

14:45 Trump is only worried about Trump, not the party or the voters*

16:00 Epstein is one of the only stories that breaks through both sides’ bubble

18:15 You can’t information silo your grocery bill, or the Epstein story

19:30 If Dems sweep midterms, we’ll point to this week as start of lame duck

20:30 By going soft on Ghislaine Maxwell, it just increases suspicion

23:00 Trump would have been better off playing “he said, she said” w/Maxwell

24:15 Stock market booming, but most of the economy is not succeeding

25:30 Trump doesn’t seem well, has aged quite a bit in past six months

27:30 A steady drip of Epstein stories/files will cause R’s to distance

29:00 Trump isn’t doing what he was elected to do, makes him vulnerable

34:00 Ask Chuck

34:15 Thought’s on Netflix’s Death By Lightning?

41:45 Can anything be done in the short term about electricity costs?

49:00 What is Trump’s motivation for intervening in Venezuela?

54:30 Did NYC Mayoral race show Dems issue with non college voters?

1:00:30 College football committee needs to go

1:07:15 College football preview

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