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First Republic Under Stress, Now What?

The Macro Trading Floor

CHAPTER

The Risk of the Debt Ceiling Hitting Markets

The SMP at 4200 year as an earnings yield assuming that forward earnings will realize at 0 plus 3% like analysts expect. Poland of course three hundred just two Poland to the moon it is one up 20% in three weeks so I don't know what to do with it anymore. The trick is to try and size them well balance the risk take not take profits early cuts losses early. If you're right 60% of the times on macro directional trades you're a beast if you're right 80% of the time you're selling optionality yeah.

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