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Military Lessons from the War in Ukraine
Net Assessment
Is Vladimir Putin Deterred From Using His Cyber Capabilities?
We're not going to, we likely will never know if Vladimir Putin was deterred from using his capabilities because he wouldn't tell us anyway. So that's something that is unknown. I have a little more confidence that in the future, we will learn whether or not efforts to employ offensive cyber were defeated and overcome. But until I see that evidence, then I'm going to stick to my prior, which is that offensive cyber cyber is overrated.
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