5min chapter

Forward Guidance cover image

The Recession Paradox | Alfonso Peccatiello

Forward Guidance

CHAPTER

The Problem With Bank Credit Creation

The trend of economies over the last 30 years has been the same wherever you look at. We have had a drop in structural growth, and demographics are a headwind for many developed markets. So labor force growth has stagnated even turned negative in many developed markets because people grow older,. productivity has been around 1%, maybe a bit less. Total credit to the economy as percentage of GDP has grown material over the past 30 years.

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